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Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Residential: Sales momentum gaining in the mass and mid market segments

According to The Business Times, GuocoLand sold around 160 units at the relaunch of its 625-unit 99-year leasehold The Quartz project located next to Buangkok MRT last week. The 160 units were sold at an ASP of S$595 psf, 10% below ASP of S$ 650 psf fetched at the peak in the middle of 2007. The bulk of the units sold were three bedroom appartments with an average size of 1,100 sqf costing around S$650,000. Locals living in the vicinity formed the majority of the buyers accounting for nearly 80% of purchases. Majority of these buyers were HDB upgraders. Besides the attractive pricing, design, layout and the near MRT location, the nearing project completion drove demand for the project.

We view the selling prices for The Quartz as a good data point supporting base formation for the mass market adding to the gaining sales momentum in the mass and mid market segments. Supported by the successful launches of Caspian and Alexis projects developers have sold more than 1000 units this month alone which is nearly a quarter of the full year developer sales last year. More such transactions would help in restoring the homebuying sentiment and could potentially act as a re-rating catalyst for the sector.

Units Sold in Feb for selected projects (best view with Firefox, IE may run into over length)
------+------------+---------------+--------+---------+-----------
Region Project Location Units Avg psf Remarks
sold (S$)
------+------------+---------------+--------+---------+-----------
Mass The Quartz Near Buangkok 160 595 10% below
MRT S$650 peak
in mid 07
------+------------+---------------+--------+---------+-----------
Mass Caspian Next to 515 600 Comparable
Lakeside MRT LakeHolmz
------+------------+---------------+--------+---------+-----------
Mid Alexis Near QueensTown 293 850-1100 Comparable
MRT Anchorage
S$891 psf
------+------------+---------------+--------+---------+-----------
Mid D'Chateau Bukit Timah 18 1000-110020% below
Shelford Sep 2008
launch
S$1,350
------+------------+---------------+--------+---------+-----------
High RV Suites River Valley 48 1300 15% below
S$1600 psf
for Wharf
Residences
------+------------+---------------+--------+---------+-----------



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